Kamis, 07 Agustus 2008

Busy Year - 2 More Storms Added "Active" Status for 2008

Bad news for US citizens arrives from the hurricane forecaster.

On 5 August 2008 they announced that 2 more storms has been added to their watch list for their potential to grow to be hurricane. That means, there are 17 named storms which they should watched in this 1 June to 30 November.

Philip Klotzbach and William Gray of Colorado State University expect that 9 of them will grow into hurricanes and 5 more grow into major hurricanes. They predict that this period will be much more active season than the typical season between 1950 and 2000.

They points to warm sea-surface temperatures and low sea-level pressures over the tropical Atlantic in June and July, combined with an active early season in the deep tropics as driving the boost in their seasonal forecast numbers. They also continues to warn the higher probability of at least one intense hurricane making landfall for the reminder of this hurricane season.

So, how is the probability of hurricane attack in US mainland for this season? Here is the clue:

-67 percent: somewhere along the U.S. coastline
-43 percent: along the U.S. east coast, including the Florida peninsula
-42 percent: along the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas

Don't panic, but always prepare for the worst case scenario!

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